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农学学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 5 ›› Issue (3): 92-96.doi: 10.11923/j.issn.2095-4050.2014-xb0773

所属专题: 现代农业发展与乡村振兴 农业气象

• 农业信息 农业气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

广西农业气象灾害特征分析及其对农业生产的影响

王燕,赵其国,黄国勤   

  1. 江西农业大学园林与艺术学院,江西农业大学生态科学研究中心,江西农业大学生态科学研究中心
  • 收稿日期:2014-08-05 修回日期:2014-08-05 接受日期:2014-10-14 出版日期:2015-03-13 发布日期:2015-03-13
  • 通讯作者: 黄国勤 E-mail:wangyan312
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金重点项目“广西红壤肥力与生态功能协同演变机制与调控”(批准号:U1033004)资助

Characteristic Analysis of Agro-meteorological Disasters and the Impacts on Grain Yield in Guangxi

王燕, and 黄国勤   

  • Received:2014-08-05 Revised:2014-08-05 Accepted:2014-10-14 Online:2015-03-13 Published:2015-03-13

摘要: 摘要:利用广西1981~2012年干旱、洪涝、低温冷害和风雹等4种农业气象灾害数据,并结合粮食作物单产资料,采用线性回归、滑动平均和灰色关联分析方法,研究了广西近32a来农业气象灾害的变化特征及其对广西农业生产的影响。结果表明,1981~2012年4种农业气象灾害的受灾率变化均不明显,但具有阶段性特征。20世纪80年代至90年代初,干旱受灾率呈递增趋势,1988-1992年受灾率居高不下,均在20%以上,90年代中后期较小且变化平缓,21世纪以后广西又处于较旱阶段;洪涝、风雹、低温冷害在20世纪80年代至90年代初受灾率均相对较小,尤其是低温冷害少有发生;90年代中后期及以后,洪涝受灾率呈明显周期性波动减小,风雹受灾率呈明显周期性波动增大,低温冷害也呈周期性的暴发。4种农业气象灾害对农业影响程度为:粮食作物平均单产、早稻单产、晚稻单产、玉米单产是干旱>洪涝>风雹>低温灾害;对单季稻而言,洪涝>干旱>风雹>低温灾害,说明干旱和洪涝是影响广西农业生产的主要气象灾害。

关键词: 酸性电解水, 酸性电解水, 碱性电解水, 灭菌效果

Abstract: Based on the statistic data of drought,flood,wind-hail,low temperature,combining with grain yield data in Guangxi Province from 1981 to 2012,agro- meteorological disasters tendency variation and their impacting on grain yield in Guangxi Province was analyzed by using linear regression analysis, moving average and gray correlation analysis in this paper. The results showed that, in recent 32 years,the disaster-affected area rate change of wind-hail, while flood,drought and low temperature was not obvious, but existed phase characteristics. In 1980's and early 1990's, the disaster-affected area rate of drought was in increasing trend, especially, it t remained more than 20% during 1988-1992, while it was low and gentle changed in the middle and late 1990's,and recent period was in dry phase again. Relatively the disaster-affected area rate of blood and chilling damage and wind-hail was low, particularly chilling damage happened rarely. Since the middle of 1990's the disaster-affected area rate of flood presented to decrease, while wind-hail presented to increase obviously, chilling damage presented fluctuant trend. The impaction of agro- meteorological disasters on average grain yield and early rice yield and late rice yield and corn yield performed as, drought>flood>windhail> chilling damage, on single- crop rice as, flood>drought>wind- hail>chilling damage, which revealed drought and flood were major agro-meteorological disasters during grain production in Guangxi province.