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农学学报

农学学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (2): 79-86.doi: 10.11923/j.issn.2095-4050.cjas2024-0196

• 农业信息 农业气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

气象新质生产力助推奉化水蜜桃产业发展研究

朱晓翠1(), 李军2, 胡波3(), 张晟宁1, 郑健1   

  1. 1 宁波市奉化区气象局，浙江宁波 315500
    2 上海市气候中心，上海 200302
    3 宁波市气象局，浙江宁波 315000
  • 收稿日期:2024-10-31 修回日期:2025-04-21 出版日期:2026-02-20 发布日期:2026-02-12
  • 通讯作者:
    胡波，男，1983年出生，湖北武汉人，高级工程师，博士，主要从事农业气象和遥感气象方面的研究。通信地址：315000 宁波市海曙区气象路118号，Tel：0574-89181794，E-mail：。
  • 作者简介:

    朱晓翠，女，1993年出生，浙江衢州人，工程师，硕士，研究方向：环境气象和农业气象。通信地址：315502 宁波市奉化区桃源路117号 宁波市奉化区气象局，Tel：0574-88955039，E-mail：。

  • 基金资助:
    宁波市气象科技计划项目“宁波市生态气候资源和气象历史文化挖掘研究”(NBQX2023004A); 宁波市气象科技计划项目“宁波桃花花期气象服务策略研究”(NBQX2023014B)

Countermeasures for Promoting Development of Fenghua Juicy Peach Industry with Meteorological New Quality Productive Forces

ZHU Xiaocui1(), LI Jun2, HU Bo3(), ZHANG Shengning1, ZHENG Jian1   

  1. 1 Fenghua District Meteorological Bureau of Ningbo, Ningbo, Zhejiang 315500
    2 Shanghai Meteorological Institute, Shanghai 200030
    3 Ningbo Bureau of Meteorology, Ningbo, Zhejiang 315000
  • Received:2024-10-31 Revised:2025-04-21 Online:2026-02-20 Published:2026-02-12

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摘要：

随着农业现代化的加速推进，气象新质生产力已成为提升农业产业竞争力的关键要素。为深入探究气象新质生产力对奉化水蜜桃产业高质量发展的驱动作用，本研究系统分析了该产业发展现状、种植气候特征以及气象服务对产业的赋能效应。研究发现，精准化气象服务显著增强了水蜜桃种植户对天气变化的应对能力，通过实时预警和决策支持实现了水蜜桃产量稳定性与果实品质的双重提升。然而，当前气象服务供给仍存在四方面短板：一是灾害预警体系尚未形成闭环管理机制；二是服务产品同质化严重，缺乏基于生长阶段的精细化定制；三是防灾减灾技术储备不足，导致极端天气应对效能受限；四是多源数据融合与智能算法应用存在明显瓶颈。针对上述问题，本研究构建了“预警-防御-创新”三位一体的发展路径，即：通过构建空天地一体化气象灾害监测网络强化预警能力；依托数字技术开发全生育期动态服务模型提升服务精度；建立气象大数据协同共享平台促进跨领域数据融合；实施“气象+桃农”联合攻关计划培育专业化人才队伍。这些创新举措为气象科技深度融入特色农产品产业链提供了可复制的实践范式。

关键词: 气象新质生产力, 水蜜桃产业, 气候产量, 气象灾害防御, 数据信息融合, 高质量发展

Abstract:

With the accelerated advancement of agricultural modernization, meteorological new quality productive forces has become a key factor in enhancing the competitiveness of agricultural industries. To deeply explore the driving role of meteorological new quality productive forces in the high-quality development of juicy peach industry in Fenghua, this study systematically analyzes the current development status of the industry, climatic characteristics for cultivation, and the empowerment effects of meteorological services. The results showed that accurate meteorological services significantly improved the ability of peach growers to cope with climate changes, achieving dual improvements in peach yield stability and fruit quality through real-time early warnings and decision-making support. However, there are problems with the current meteorological services in the development of the juicy peach industry. Firstly, the disaster early warning system has not yet formed a closed-loop management mechanism; secondly, service products are highly homogeneous and lack refined customization based on growth stages; thirdly, the technical reserves for disaster prevention and mitigation are insufficient, limiting the effectiveness in responding to extreme weather; fourthly, there are obvious bottlenecks in multi-source data fusion and intelligent algorithm application. To address these issues, this study proposes the "early warning-defense-innovation" trinity development path: strengthening early warning capabilities through the construction of a space-air-ground integrated meteorological disaster monitoring network; enhancing service precision by developing dynamic full-growth-period service models via digital technology; promoting cross-domain data fusion through a meteorological big data collaboration platform; implementing the joint research plan of "meteorology + peach farmers" to cultivate a professional talent team. These innovative measures provide a replicable practical paradigm for integrating meteorological science and technology deeply into the industrial chain of characteristic agricultural products.

Key words: meteorological new quality productive forces, juicy peach industry, climatic yield, meteorological disaster prevention, data and information fusion, high-quality development