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农学学报

农学学报 ›› 2011, Vol. 1 ›› Issue (10): 69-74.

所属专题： 现代农业发展与乡村振兴

• 三农问题研究 农村产业结构 • 上一篇    

台商农业投资对福建农业经济增长效应的实证分析

王江芳 林翊   

  • 收稿日期:2011-08-08 修回日期:2011-10-18 出版日期:2011-12-20 发布日期:2011-12-20
  • 基金资助:

    教育部2010年度人文社科青年基金项目“新时期闽台农业合作战略演变研究”;福建省教育厅A类重点项目“闽台农业进一步合作的空间与潜力”

Empirical Analysis on the Effect of Agricultural Investment of Taiwan Businessmen to the Growth of the Agricultural Economy in Fujian

  • Received:2011-08-08 Revised:2011-10-18 Online:2011-12-20 Published:2011-12-20

PDF (PC)

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摘要：

为了研究台资对福建农业经济增长的作用，利用1991—2009年福建农业总产值、福建农业实际利用台资等面板数据，用协整检验与误差修正模型以及Granger因果检验，对福建农业利用台资效率进行定量分析。研究结果表明，台商农业投资与福建农业经济增长存在长期均衡的协整关系，短期内台商农业投资的变化会引起福建省农业生产总值的同方向变化，如果台商农业投资变化1%，那么将引起福建农业生产总值变化0.674183%，当短期波动偏离长期均衡时，将以-0.332285的调整力度将非均衡状态拉回均衡状态，这说明二者存在动态均衡机制。因此台商农业投资对福建农业经济的增长具有明显的促进作用，而福建农业经济的增长不会影响台商农业投资的增长。

关键词: 黑龙江, 黑龙江, 界限温度, GIS, 积温带, 移动

Abstract:

The aim was to study the effects of investment of Taiwan on the agricultural development of Fujian. With the panel data of 1991 to 2009 Fujian agricultural gross output value and the real investment of Taiwan businessmen in Fujian agriculture and so on, a quantitative analysis on the efficiency of using the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen in Fujian agriculture was done by using the co-integration test, error correction models and Granger causality test. It was certified by the research that there is a co-integration relationship in the long term equilibrium between the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen and the growth of Fujian agricultural economy. In the short term the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen could cause the change of Fujian agricultural gross output value in the same direction. Fujian agricultural gross output value would change at 0.674183% when the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen at 1%. When the short term fluctuation deviated from the long term equilibrium, non equilibrium state would be taken to the equilibrium state at the adjustment of -0.332285, which explains that there was a dynamic mode between the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen and the growth of Fujian agricultural economy. So the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen made a obvious improvement to the growth of Fujian agricultural economy, but the growth of Fujian agricultural economy didn’t affect the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen.

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