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农学学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 9 ›› Issue (6): 64-69.doi: 10.11923/j.issn.2095-4050.cjas19020008

• 农业信息 农业气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于二元logistic模型的糜子新品种采用影响因素实证分析

张新仕   

  1. 河北省农林科学院农业信息与经济研究所
  • 收稿日期:2019-02-15 修回日期:2019-03-11 接受日期:2019-04-01 出版日期:2019-07-01 发布日期:2019-07-01
  • 通讯作者: 张新仕 E-mail:zhangxinshi123
  • 基金资助:
    :国家现代农业产业技术体系建设专项“国家谷子糜子产业技术体系”(CARS-07-13.5-A18)。

Influencing Factors of New Millet Varieties’Adoption Based on Dual Logistic Model: An Empirical Analysis

  • Received:2019-02-15 Revised:2019-03-11 Accepted:2019-04-01 Online:2019-07-01 Published:2019-07-01

摘要: 糜子作为我国传统作物,在西北地区有着悠久历史,但受产量低、口感差等原因,面积逐步萎缩。本文通过对糜子新品种采用影响因素进行分析,得到单位产量、单位效益、是否出售、糜子新品种信息渠道对新品种是否采用行为有显著的正向影响;种植新品种风险对新品种是否采用行为有显著的负向影响,最后从加强科研投入力度,培育适合农户和市场需求的新品种、开发糜子加工新产品,提高糜子的市场化程度、加大糜子的补贴和支持力度方面提出相应的对策和建议。

关键词: 甘薯, 甘薯, 甘薯茎基部腐烂病, 病原鉴定

Abstract: As a traditional crop in China, millet has a long history in Northwest China. However, due to low yield and poor taste, its area gradually shrinks. Through the analysis of the influencing factors on the adoption of new varieties of millet, this paper obtains that the unit yield, unit benefit, whether to sell or not, and the information channel of new varieties of millet have significant positive effects on the adoption of new varieties; the risk of planting new varieties has significant negative effects on the adoption of new varieties; finally, from strengthening the investment in scientific research, cultivating new varieties suitable for farmers and market needs. The corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward in the aspects of new varieties, developing new products of millet processing, improving the marketization degree of millet, increasing the subsidies and support of millet.