脱贫人口返贫风险“事前—事中—事后”全过程防控研究脉络

doi:10.11923/j.issn.2095-4050.cjas2020-0233

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

为系统构建返贫风险研究脉络,通过文献研究方法与比较分析方法对国内外主流期刊已有研究文献进行梳理,发现已有返贫风险研究存在以下不足：研究对象多集中于贫困户,难以跟踪农户脱贫后生产生活变化趋势;研究视角多从“事后治理贫困”入手,难以对贫困先期防范预警;研究方法多为单一的指标体系法或者特征指数法,难以实现优势互补。据此构建了返贫风险未来研究脉络并归纳了未来研究趋势（3个转向）：亟需从“贫困人口”转向“脱贫人口”,并厘清脱贫人口返贫机理;亟需从“事后治理贫困”转向事前、事中、事后全过程防控返贫,建立全过程联防机制,增加多重保障;亟需从“单一的指标体系法或特征指数法”转向“指标体系与特征指数相结合的综合方法”。

关键词: 脱贫户, 返贫风险, "事前—事中—事后"全过程, 研究脉络, 展望

Abstract:

To systematically construct the overall research contexts of poverty-returning risks, the existing research literature in mainstream journals at home and abroad is sorted out by means of literature research and comparative analysis. It is found that there are difficulties as follows. Most objects of the research are poor households but it is difficult to track the change trend of the production and the life of farmers out of poverty. And it is also difficult to prevent and warn poverty in advance instead of combating poverty after the event. The research methods are mostly from single index system method or characteristic index method, which are difficult to draw on each other’s strength. Based on these, the future research contexts of the poverty-returning risks are constructed and the future research trends are summarized as (three transitions): the research focus should be changed from poverty stricken population to population out of poverty and on clarifying the poverty-returning mechanism; the research perspective should be changed from combating poverty after the event to the whole process of “before, during and after the event”; the method should be changed from single index system method or characteristic index method to the a comprehensive method combining indicator system with characteristic indexes.

Key words: Households Out of Poverty, Poverty-returning Risks, the Whole Process of "Before During and After the Event", Research Contexts, Prospect

中图分类号:

廖冰. 脱贫人口返贫风险“事前—事中—事后”全过程防控研究脉络[J]. 农学学报, 2021, 11(12): 118-124.

LIAO Bing. The Research Contexts of Preventing Poverty-returning Risks Through the Whole Process of “Before, During, After the Event” for the Population out of Poverty[J]. Journal of Agriculture, 2021, 11(12): 118-124.

图/表 3

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序号	作者	发表年份	评价内容	评价方法
1	陈超群^[39]	2018	乡村旅游地脱贫居民返贫风险综合模糊评判研究——基于可持续生计资本的视角	模糊综合评价
2	Alkire and Foster^[40]	2011	Counting and Multidimensional Poverty Measurement	双界线法（A-F方法）
3	Alkire and Foster^[40]	2017	Multidimensional poverty reduction among countries in sub-saharan Africa	改进的双界线法（A-F方法）
5	蒋南平^[41]	2017	中国农民工多维返贫测度问题	多维返贫指数方法
6	蒋南平^[38]	2019	中国农村人口贫困变动研究	多维脱贫指数方法
7	和立道^[25]	2018	农村地区人力资本公共投资对农村贫困人口减少的脉冲响应分析	VAR模型
8	郑瑞强^[10]	2016	脱贫人口返贫：影响因素、作用机制与风险控制	生计空间重塑与业务流程再造
9	王文略^[1]	2019	风险冲击与机会缺失对农户多维贫困的影响研究——以连片贫困地区为例	OLS回归、泊松回归
10	马绍东^[42]	2018	多维贫困视角下民族地区返贫成因及对策研究	A-F（双重临界值法）
11	黄晓野^[20]	2018	精准扶贫地区人口贫困状态及影响因素研究	Probit模型

序号	作者	发表年份	评价内容	评价方法
1	陈超群^[39]	2018	乡村旅游地脱贫居民返贫风险综合模糊评判研究——基于可持续生计资本的视角	模糊综合评价
2	Alkire and Foster^[40]	2011	Counting and Multidimensional Poverty Measurement	双界线法（A-F方法）
3	Alkire and Foster^[40]	2017	Multidimensional poverty reduction among countries in sub-saharan Africa	改进的双界线法（A-F方法）
5	蒋南平^[41]	2017	中国农民工多维返贫测度问题	多维返贫指数方法
6	蒋南平^[38]	2019	中国农村人口贫困变动研究	多维脱贫指数方法
7	和立道^[25]	2018	农村地区人力资本公共投资对农村贫困人口减少的脉冲响应分析	VAR模型
8	郑瑞强^[10]	2016	脱贫人口返贫：影响因素、作用机制与风险控制	生计空间重塑与业务流程再造
9	王文略^[1]	2019	风险冲击与机会缺失对农户多维贫困的影响研究——以连片贫困地区为例	OLS回归、泊松回归
10	马绍东^[42]	2018	多维贫困视角下民族地区返贫成因及对策研究	A-F（双重临界值法）
11	黄晓野^[20]	2018	精准扶贫地区人口贫困状态及影响因素研究	Probit模型