Welcome to Journal of Agriculture,

Journal of Agriculture ›› 2021, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (9): 111-117.doi: 10.11923/j.issn.2095-4050.cjas2021-0107

Special Issue: 现代农业发展与乡村振兴

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The Interaction Between Agricultural Mechanization and Farmers’ Non-Agricultural Income in Heilongjiang Province: An Empirical Analysis Based on VAR Model

Lin Hui(), Wang Yubin   

  1. College of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing100083
  • Received:2021-06-22 Revised:2021-08-10 Online:2021-09-20 Published:2021-09-30

Abstract:

To improve farmers’ non-agricultural income, solve the core problems of the Sannong issue (namely, agriculture, rural community and farmers), this paper uses VAR (vector auto regression) model to empirically explore the interaction between agricultural mechanization and farmers’ off-farm income in Heilongjiang Province. The results show that agricultural mechanization and farmers’ non-agricultural income in Heilongjiang Province are Granger causality. In addition, the development of agricultural mechanization in Heilongjiang Province has a relatively stable promoting effect on the increase of non-agricultural income, but there is a certain lag in the short term. The increase of non-agricultural income will strongly inhibit the development of agricultural mechanization, and it has not yet formed a benign interactive relationship of mutual promotion. In view of this, in order to promote the formation of a benign interactive relationship between agricultural mechanization and non-agricultural income in the province, the study puts forward some suggestions on relying on scientific and technological progress to drive the development of agricultural mechanization, upgrading the service guarantee level of agricultural machinery by improving agricultural cooperation organizations, strengthening the training of agricultural machinery skills, giving full play to the utilization efficiency of agricultural machinery, broadening farmers’ non-agricultural employment channels and increasing farmers’ non-agricultural income.

Key words: Agricultural Mechanization, Non-agricultural Income, VAR Model, Interaction

CLC Number: