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农学学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (1): 44-50.doi: 10.11923/j.issn.2095-4050.cjas20191200298

所属专题: 资源与环境 农业气象 农业生态

• 土壤肥料/资源环境/生态 • 上一篇    下一篇

北京西部生态涵养区气候承载能力初探

杨袁慧1(), 程宸2, 李超1, 付磊1, 张伟琪1   

  1. 1北京市门头沟区气象局,北京 102300
    2中国气象科学研究院,北京 100081
  • 收稿日期:2019-12-09 修回日期:2020-03-08 出版日期:2021-01-20 发布日期:2021-02-05
  • 作者简介:杨袁慧,女,1988年出生,工程师,硕士,主要从事天气预报预警、气象防灾减灾及生态气象服务研究。通信地址:102300 北京市门头沟区滨河路22号门头沟区气象局,Tel:010-61890260,E-mail: 920990866@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    北京市气象局科技项目(BMBKJ201704018);门头沟区青年人才培养资助项目

Climate Carrying Capacity in Ecological Conservation Area of Western Beijing: A Preliminary Study

Yang Yuanhui1(), Cheng Chen2, Li Chao1, Fu Lei1, Zhang Weiqi1   

  1. 1Mentougou Meteorological Bureau, Beijing 102300, China
    2Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:2019-12-09 Revised:2020-03-08 Online:2021-01-20 Published:2021-02-05

摘要:

利用历史气象观测资料、卫星遥感影像资料,结合海拔高度、地形差异的影响,采用ArcGIS进行空间分析来研究北京西部生态涵养区的气候资源基本状况、主要气象灾害的风险区划,综合评判涵养区气候承载能力,以期为生态涵养区建设、资源优化开发与保护、生态旅游发展提供科学的气象参考。研究结果表明:(1)涵养区出现严寒、酷暑的概率相对较低,夏季山地区域更适宜于避暑旅游。(2)涵养区总体累积降雨量适中,降雨引发的灾害相对较少,宜居性较高。(3)涵养区具有很大的气候生产潜力,生态农业资源开发潜力和价值高。(4)涵养区夏季大部分时间人体感觉舒适、全年旅游舒适期长,具有休闲、避暑、生态旅游的气候条件优势。(5)涵养区高温灾害风险较低,宜于打造宜居、宜游胜地,真正践行绿色青山就是金山银山理念,创造区域经济价值。(6)涵养区东部平原内涝风险等级较高,需提前防范,做好城市排涝工作,及时规避风险;中西部深山区泥石流风险等级较高,要加强风险隐含点的防控与排查,科学防灾减灾。

关键词: 生态涵养区, 气候资源, 气象灾害, 气候承载能力, 气候生产潜力, 温湿指数, 人体舒适度气象指数

Abstract:

Based on historical meteorological observation data, satellite remote sensing image data, and the influence of altitude and terrain differences, we used ArcGIS spatial analysis to study the basic situation of climate resources and risk division of major meteorological disasters of ecological conservation area in western Beijing, comprehensively evaluated its climate carrying capacity of climate resources, aiming to provide meteorological references for constructing ecological conservation area, optimizing the protection of resources, and developing ecological tourism. The results show that: (1) in the western Beijing ecological conservation area, the probability of severe cold and extreme heat is relatively low, mountain areas are more suitable for summer tourism; (2) the overall cumulative rainfall is moderate, rain-induced disasters are relatively few, and the habitability is good; (3) ecological conservation area has great potential for climate production and high potential and value for the development of ecological agricultural resources; (4) most of the time in summer, the human body feels comfortable, the whole year travel comfortable period is long, and the area has advantages of climate conditions for leisure, summer, and ecological tourism; (5) the high temperature disaster risk is relatively low, and the area is suitable for building a livable and touring resort, truly practicing the concept of “green mountains is golden mountains” and creating regional economic value; (6) the risk level of waterlogging in the eastern plain is relatively high, so precautions should be taken in advance to avoid the risk in time; the risk level of debris flow is high in deep mountains of central and western areas, so the prevention and control should be strengthened and the hidden risks should be investigated ahead of time to mitigate the disasters in a scientific way.

Key words: Ecological Conservation Area, Climate Resources, Meteorological Disasters, Climate Carrying Capacity, Climatic Production Potential, Temperature-humidity Index, Body Comfort Meteorological Index

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